The GeoPoll Socio-Political Barometer is an initiative to collect rapid, accurate, and robust data on key social and political issues in developing countries. It uses large-scale face-to-face survey research supported by state-of-the-art technology that streamlines the survey process and ensures data integrity.
In the run-up to the 2023 Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) Elections, Geopoll is pleased to release findings from the latest wave of a series of comprehensive Socio-Political Barometer nationwide surveys conducted over the last two years. This fourth report captures the evolving opinions and expectations of the Congolese people as the nation approaches the elections on December 27, 2023.
This wave of GeoPoll’s Socio-Political Barometer is more than a mere data collection; it represents the collective voice and evolving dynamics of the Congolese electorate. As the DRC prepares to cast its votes, these insights offer a window into the hearts and minds of its citizens.
Methodology
Undertaken from September 16 to November 20, 2023, our survey reached 5,763 households across diverse regions of the DRC. A sample of 5,763 households across
Democratic Republic of the Congo was selected through a Geospatial Information System (GIS) system, so that interviewers and field managers had no role in choosing whom to interview.
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Key Findings in Summary
Most Congolese people are thoroughly dissatisfied with the state of the country, with unemployment, insecurity, infrastructure and food prices the most mentioned challenges
Perceptions have not, however, deteriorated further in the past year – in fact there are signs of marginal improvement, particularly in response to the ongoing implementation of universal free education.
The opposition remains divided and unlikely to align in time for the polls.
Among those with a strong intention to vote in the upcoming elections, 55% are both willing to support a second term for President Felix Tshisekedi and see no alternative candidate deserving of their vote.
In Conclusion
Based on the survey data GeoPoll collected, a first-round victory for President Tshisekedi is the most likely outcome of the upcoming polls. Still, there is no reason to believe that they will run smoothly. Conflict, logistics, weather, and other factors may affect the outcome.
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