Dividend Aristocrats In Focus: Walmart Inc.

Updated on March 5th, 2026 by Felix Martinez

The Dividend Aristocrats are a select group of 69 companies in the S&P 500 Index that have increased their dividends for 25+ consecutive years. We believe they are among the best dividend stocks to buy and hold for the long term.

Retail heavyweight Walmart Inc. (WMT) is one of the better-known Dividend Aristocrats. It is widely recognized, not just for its strong brand and industry dominance, but also for its long dividend history.

You can see a full downloadable spreadsheet of all 69 Dividend Aristocrats, along with several important financial metrics such as price-to-earnings ratios and dividend yields, by clicking on the link below:

Disclaimer: Sure Dividend is not affiliated with S&P Global in any way. S&P Global owns and maintains The Dividend Aristocrats Index. The information in this article and downloadable spreadsheet is based on Sure Dividend’s own review, summary, and analysis of the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) and other sources, and is meant to help individual investors better understand this ETF and the index upon which it is based. None of the information in this article or spreadsheet is official data from S&P Global. Consult S&P Global for official information.

Walmart’s first dividend was paid in 1974. It has increased its dividend for 52 consecutive years, making it a Dividend King.

Walmart has experienced a resurgence of growth in the past few years by adapting to the changing retail climate. It has invested heavily in its e-commerce platform and has proven itself to be one of the best-equipped to compete with Amazon.

Business Overview

The first Walmart store opened in 1962 in Rogers, Arkansas. It was founded by Sam Walton, who started the business with a simple vision: to offer the lowest prices. This philosophy led to Walmart’s huge growth over the years.

Walmart went public in 1972. At that time, it had 51 stores and annual sales of $78 million.

Today, Walmart generates annual sales of more than $713 billion. It operates more than 10,800 stores, serving nearly 270 million customers each week.

Walmart has also expanded into various services, making it a true conglomerate. The Walmart U.S. segment includes retail stores in all 50 U.S. states, Washington, D.C., and Puerto Rico.

It also includes Walmart’s digital business. Walmart International has operations in 19 countries outside the U.S.

Lastly, Sam’s Club is a membership-only warehouse club that operates in 44 states and Puerto Rico.

Growth Prospects

Walmart posted fourth-quarter and full-year earnings on February 19th, 2026. The company reported strong Q4 FY26 results, with revenue of $190.7B, up 5.6% (4.9% constant currency), and operating income rising 10.8% to $8.7B, outpacing sales growth.

Adjusted EPS was $0.74, while GAAP EPS was $0.53. Global eCommerce sales surged 24%, led by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery, and the global advertising business grew 37%. Walmart U.S. comp sales increased 4.6%, supported by a 27% jump in U.S. eCommerce sales.

For the full fiscal year, revenue reached $713.2B, up 4.7%, with operating income increasing 1.6% to $29.8B (up 5.4% adjusted, constant currency). Adjusted EPS was $2.64, and operating cash flow rose to $41.6B, generating $14.9B in free cash flow.

The company returned significant capital to shareholders, repurchasing $8.1B in stock during the year and announcing a new $30B share repurchase authorization, while increasing its annual dividend to $0.99 per share.

Looking ahead to FY27, Walmart expects net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5% and adjusted operating income growth of 6% to 8% on a constant-currency basis. Adjusted EPS is projected at $2.75 to $2.85, with capital expenditures planned at approximately 3.5% of net sales.

Management emphasized continued momentum in digital, advertising, and membership revenue as key drivers of profitability and long-term growth.

Source: Investor Presentation

We currently forecast Walmart to grow its earnings per share by 12% annually over the next five years.

Competitive Advantages & Recession Performance

Walmart’s main competitive advantage is its massive scale. Its distribution efficiencies allow Walmart to keep transportation costs low. It can pass on these savings to customers through everyday low prices.

Walmart retains its brand strength through advertising. Because of its immense financial resources, Walmart can afford to spend billions each year on advertising.

Walmart’s competitive advantage also enables it to maintain steady profitability, even during recessions. The company performed phenomenally well during the Great Recession.

It steadily grew earnings per share each year during that time.

2007 earnings-per-share of $3.16
2008 earnings-per-share of $3.42 (8.2% increase)
2009 earnings-per-share of $3.66 (7% increase)
2010 earnings-per-share of $4.07 (11% increase)

This was a very impressive performance in one of the worst recessions in decades. The company continued to generate strong results last year, when the U.S. economy entered recession due to the coronavirus pandemic.

Walmart’s growth indicates the company might actually benefit from recessions. As the low-cost leader in retail, Walmart conceivably sees higher traffic during economic downturns, when consumers scale down from higher-priced retailers.

Source: Investor Presentation

Valuation & Expected Returns

Walmart shares currently trade at $126. Using our earnings-per-share estimate of $2.90 for the current fiscal year, the stock has a price-to-earnings ratio of 43.4x. This is well above the stock’s historical valuation, which is at a 10-year high.

We currently view a P/E ratio of 30 as fair value for Walmart stock. If the valuation multiple were to revert to our fair value estimate over the next five years, the company’s total returns would decline by 7.1% per year.

Walmart shares have performed very well for an extended period. While this has rewarded shareholders with strong returns, we view Walmart stock as highly overvalued.

Aside from changes in the P/E multiple, Walmart should also generate returns from earnings growth and dividends. A projection of expected returns is below:

12.0% earnings-per-share growth
0.8% dividend yield
-7.1% multiple reversion

Walmart stock is projected to generate a total return of 5.7% per year over the next five years.

Final Thoughts

While many retailers have struggled to adapt to changes in shopping habits, Walmart has made the right strategic investments, in our view. The company’s impressive e-commerce growth reflects this view.

The company has performed well, and the stock is currently trading at an all-time high. We find the company’s dividend track record impressive, even if the most recent dividend hike was 5.3%.

Walmart is a safe, defensive stock in times of economic hardship, but its rich valuation prevents it from being a buy today. As a result, we rate it a hold.

If you are interested in finding more high-quality dividend growth stocks suitable for long-term investment, the following Sure Dividend databases will be useful:

The major domestic stock market indices are another solid resource for finding investment ideas. Sure Dividend compiles the following stock market databases and updates them monthly: