Key Takeaways
100 Thieves beat NRG 3-1 as the EWC awarded Valorant’s winner $600,000.Polymarket’s top 20 esports markets held $402,600 in volume and $1.39 million in liquidity.Kalshi priced T1 at 88% and Hanwha Life at 89% before their coming EWC matches.
Three Champions Set the Early Pace
100 Thieves defeated NRG 3-1 in the Valorant grand final, with Cryocells earning MVP honors; UNLIMIT won the Apex Legends Match Point Finals ahead of ZETA DIVISION and Wolves, with Peace named MVP; and NAVI’s Darkangel beat Virtus.pro’s mi2ha4 5-1 in Fatal Fury: City of the Wolves.
Official EWC listings show $600,000 for the Valorant winner and $250,000 for the Fatal Fury champion. The broader competition carries a reported $75 million prize pool, including $30 million for its cross-game Club Championship.
Those results opened a schedule running from July 6 through Aug. 23. Dota 2 remains active, while League of Legends, Free Fire, and the Mobile Legends: Bang Bang Women’s Invitational enter the Week 2 program.
Polymarket’s 20 Leading Match Markets
As of July 13, Polymarket lists 642 esports prediction-market events. The 20 leading contracts Bitcoin.com News reviewed carried $402,600 in combined volume and $1.387 million in liquidity, led by eSuba vs. Misa Esports at $61,400 in volume, where eSuba held 34%, and Hanwha Life Esports vs. MIBR.LOS at $48,400, where Hanwha commanded 92%.
The EWC-linked League of Legends board showed Gen.G at 86% against Karmine Corp on $22,900 volume and $49,900 liquidity; LYON at 45% against JD Gaming on $17,300 and $64,600; AG.AL at 51% against Dplus KIA on $19,100 and $46,600; Bilibili Gaming at 84% against Movistar KOI on $34,400 and $50,900; T1 at 91% against GAM Esports on $11,500 and $39,600; and Team Secret at 60% against Sentinels on $12,800 and $34,200.
Dota 2 traders priced Team Liquid at 64% against Xtreme Gaming with $32,800 volume and $168,000 liquidity; Vici Gaming at 52% against Playtime with $35,100 and $78,600; Rune Eaters at 34% against Virtus.pro with $22,800 and $103,000; and LGD Gaming at 74% against MOUZ with $19,600 and $82,600.
The remaining Polymarket board included VfB eSports at 14% against BIG on $36,200 volume and $114,000 liquidity; ex-KRÜ Esports at 51% against Alzon on $6,400 and $204,000; Wolves Esports at 24% against All Gamers on $6,700 and $125,000; XLG Gaming at 85% against TEC Esports on $2,600 and $80,100; Fnatic at 52% against Geekay Esports on $2,800 and $25,400; G2 Esports at 66% against 100 Thieves on $3,500 and $32,100; Movistar KOI Fénix at 60% against Barça eSports on $2,300 and $19,400; and LUA Gaming at 62% against FALKE Esports on $4,000 and $20,200.
Kalshi’s Wider Matchup Board
The Kalshi order book we reviewed stood at around 50 matchups.
Four markets showed volume totaling $156,324: SPARTA vs. MOUZ NXT at $85,617, with SPARTA at 98%; Virtus.pro vs. Falcons Esport at $28,373, with Virtus.pro at 69%; Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Kaufland Hangry Knights at $36,746, with Kaufland at 99%; and Sentinels vs. Team Secret at $5,588, with Team Secret at 52%. The rest of the matchups are brand new markets.
Favorites, Toss-Ups and Early Pricing Gaps
Kalshi’s new-market slate listed Donstu Esports 52%-48% over ex-MANA eSports; Team Orange Gaming 57%-43% over ROSSMANN Centaurs; Brute and GenOne at 43%-43%; Entropy and HOTU at 44%-44%; QUAZAR and Bushido Wildcats at 43%-43%; E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 71%-29% over Eintracht Frankfurt; LPH Gaming 75%-25% over ENJOY; Berlin International Gaming 86%-14% over VfB eSports; Fnatic 52%-48% over Geekay; Zeu5 Esports 66%-34% over 3v Team; and Lyon Gaming Academy 60%-40% over Kits Esports.
The remainder of the newly listed markets favored SDM Tigres 86%-14% over Polar Squad; Fuego 83%-17% over NCG; SPARTA 66%-34% over ENCE; LEO and Inner Circle Prospect at 47%-47%; All Gamers 74%-26% over Wolves; Misa Esports 63%-37% over eSuba; GenOne and Honvéd at 46%-46%; Virtus.pro 67%-34% over Rune Eaters; and Team Liquid 64%-36% over Xtreme Gaming.
The rest showed XLG Gaming 84%-16% over TEC; Patins da Ferrari 79%-21% over METANOIA WOLVES; Vici Gaming 53%-47% over PlayTime; LUA Gaming 56%-41% over FALKE; ODDIK 71%-29% over paiN Academy; Los Heretics 78%-21% over UCAM Esports Club; Vasco Esports 75%-25% over MAGICOS; Docta Esports 65%-34% over ZEN Esports; Volticons 85%-15% over Seven Dark; 9z Globant 79%-19% over Malvinas Gaming; Lavked 59%-42% over Just_Players; and ONSIDE GAMING 82%-18% over ARETE.
Kalshi also listed FunPlus Phoenix and JD Gaming at 50%-50%; Gen.G 84%-16% over Karmine Corp; NIP 61%-38% over K27; T1 88%-12% over GAM Esports; Bilibili Gaming 81%-19% over Movistar KOI; ENJOY and The Last Resort at 46%-46%; G2 Esports 75%-26% over FURIA Esports; AG.AL 53%-44% over Dplus KIA; EDward Gaming 73%-30% over TYLOO; Hanwha Life Esports 89%-11% over MIBR.LOS; JD Gaming 54%-46% over LYON; Heroic 58%-42% over 3DMAX; Procyon Gaming 75%-22% over Red Feet; and FUT Esports 57%-43% over Natus Vincere.
The platforms did not always agree. Polymarket favored Wolves over All Gamers, while Kalshi leaned All Gamers. Both backed LUA over FALKE, placed Team Liquid at 64%, and assigned XLG almost identical probabilities, showing where independent trading pools converged before play.
For esports teams, organizers, and sponsors, the wagers create a continuously repriced record of expectations. The early champions supplied the first hard results; the coming matches will show whether heavily favored names, including T1, Hanwha Life, Gen.G and Bilibili Gaming can convert market confidence into tournament wins.
